Bitcoin Hits a Decision Point as Momentum Slows
Bitcoin is starting to hesitate after a strong rally, putting the market at one of those uncomfortable “now what?” moments traders pretend to love. The latest price action suggests BTC is no longer charging forward blindly, but pausing to figure out whether it still has fuel left or if gravity is about to do its job.
According to crypto analyst Tony Severino, Bitcoin has entered a critical phase where trend maturity matters more than hype. His chart shows a clean upward structure built on higher highs and controlled pullbacks, a classic sign of strength. But that structure is now losing speed. The trend hasn’t broken, yet it’s clearly not accelerating either.
This slowdown matters because Bitcoin still sets the tone for the entire crypto market. When BTC hesitates, everything else tends to hold its breath.
Momentum Is Cooling, Not Crashing
Severino points out that recent candles are getting smaller, with weaker follow-through from buyers. That usually means conviction is fading. Bulls are still present, but they’re no longer pushing with the same aggression. The market is essentially testing whether demand is strong enough to keep prices climbing or whether the move has already done its job.
One key signal is the appearance of a Doji candle near the top of the trend. This isn’t a sell signal on its own. It’s more like the market admitting uncertainty. Directional confidence is gone, and multiple outcomes are now on the table.
According to Severino, this phase can resolve in a few ways:
- Bitcoin could enter a consolidation phase, moving sideways while preserving its broader uptrend.
- The pause could turn into distribution, where stronger players gradually reduce exposure as momentum fades.
- Or the market could surprise everyone with one last push higher, driven by renewed conviction and late-stage momentum.
At this stage, the chart doesn’t confirm which path will win. It only signals that the next move will matter more than usual.
Warning Signs Point to a Deeper Drop
Not everyone is optimistic. In a separate analysis, market watcher Lofty issued a much harsher outlook, warning that Bitcoin may be setting up for a sharp decline.
He argues that the current structure closely mirrors the 2021 cycle, particularly the Double Top pattern that preceded a major collapse. According to his view, Bitcoin has already completed this formation and is now entering the early stages of a longer downtrend.
If history repeats, Lofty believes Bitcoin could fall toward the $35,000 level within the next two weeks. That would represent a drop of more than 60% from current levels near $88,500. It’s not a gentle correction scenario. It’s a reset.
His thesis leans on Bitcoin’s four-year cycle behavior, where strong rallies are often followed by deep, emotionally painful drawdowns once momentum breaks.
The Bottom Line
Bitcoin is no longer in “easy mode.” The trend hasn’t collapsed, but it’s clearly under stress. Momentum is slowing, uncertainty is rising, and analysts are split between consolidation and a sharper reversal.
For now, the market is waiting. And when Bitcoin stops being decisive, it usually means a big move is loading in the background.
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